Montana State
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
353  Ty Mogan SO 32:38
782  Zachary Kughn SR 33:26
1,086  Isaac Barville FR 33:52
1,169  Adam Wollant SR 33:58
1,242  Anthony Schmalz SO 34:03
1,445  Noah Kirkland SO 34:20
1,779  Cameron Carroll FR 34:47
1,914  Shawn Peden SR 35:00
National Rank #130 of 312
Mountain Region Rank #14 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ty Mogan Zachary Kughn Isaac Barville Adam Wollant Anthony Schmalz Noah Kirkland Cameron Carroll Shawn Peden
MSU Invite 09/17 1128 32:32 33:35 34:05 34:12 34:30 34:45 35:43
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (White) 10/15 1099 32:32 33:49 33:50 33:24 33:34 34:15 34:46
Big Sky Conference 10/28 1128 32:44 33:23 34:07 34:26 33:48 34:15 34:44 34:34
Mountain Region Championships 11/11 1034 32:06 32:57 33:40 33:53 34:03 34:52 34:38





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 14.0 405 0.2 1.3 16.1 63.1 17.6 1.8 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ty Mogan 51.0
Zachary Kughn 74.9
Isaac Barville 89.0
Adam Wollant 91.7
Anthony Schmalz 94.8
Noah Kirkland 101.7
Cameron Carroll 109.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 0.2% 0.2 11
12 1.3% 1.3 12
13 16.1% 16.1 13
14 63.1% 63.1 14
15 17.6% 17.6 15
16 1.8% 1.8 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 18
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0